Key Points

  • Sterling recovers from mid-week lows to close the week with bullish momentum.
  • The pair successfully defended the psychological 1.3600 support level.
  • Investors look ahead to upcoming central bank cues as volatility persists.
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The British Pound finished the trading week on a strong footing against the US Dollar, erasing earlier losses to settle at 1.3654. While the pair faced significant selling pressure mid-week, the resilient price action suggests that underlying demand for Sterling remains intact despite a complex global macroeconomic backdrop.

Rollercoaster Week: The Dip and Recovery

The trading week was defined by distinct phases of market sentiment. After opening with stability, the GBP/USD pair encountered turbulence on Wednesday and Thursday (Feb 11-12), dipping to test the lower bounds of its recent range near 1.3600. This mid-week weakness appeared to be driven by temporary USD strength and profit-taking. However, the sell-off was short-lived; by Friday (Feb 13), buyers re-emerged aggressively, pushing the rate back up by +0.23% on the final trading day to close near the week’s highs.

Technical Landscape: Defending Key Support

From a technical perspective, the ability of the bulls to defend the 1.3600 handle is a significant development. The chart highlights a “V-shaped” recovery, often interpreted by traders as a signal of exhaustion among sellers. The pair is now consolidating just below the 1.3700 resistance, a breakout of which could open the door for further upside. The 5-day view confirms that while volatility is present, the immediate trend has shifted back to neutral-positive as long as the price holds above the mid-week lows.

Macroeconomic Drivers and Sentiment

The currency markets continue to grapple with shifting expectations regarding interest rates and economic growth data. The “Key Events” noted on the chart likely contributed to the intra-week volatility, reflecting the market’s sensitivity to new data points. The US Dollar struggled to maintain its momentum towards the end of the week, providing the necessary tailwind for the Pound’s recovery. This dynamic underscores the current market environment, where forex rates are being driven as much by broad risk sentiment as they are by specific domestic fundamentals in the UK.

As markets open next week, all eyes will be on whether the GBP/USD can sustain this rebound and challenge the 1.3700 barrier. Traders should monitor the release of upcoming inflation data and central bank commentary, which remain the primary risks to the current outlook. A failure to break higher could see the pair range-bound, but for now, the momentum favors a test of higher levels.


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