Key Points

  • Bitcoin has dropped sharply from its October highs, but some analysts see potential for stabilization or a bounce if key support holds.
  • Ethereum and XRP show signs of relative strength: ETH may be absorbing sell-side liquidity, while XRP is consolidating around accumulation zones.
  • Significant risks remain — macro uncertainty, liquidity draining, and ETF-related pressures could derail a sustained recovery.
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Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP are under the spotlight again as analysts assess whether their recent slide could set the stage for a rebound — or mark the start of a deeper drawdown. The intense volatility in November underscores investors’ anxiety around liquidity, macro factors and the evolving ETF backdrop.

Bitcoin’s Fragile Support Structure

Bitcoin’s price has pulled back from its October highs — and some analysts warn the decline could deepen if key technical levels break. According to CoinDesk, BTC has made repeated tests of its 200-day moving average, suggesting that support is fragile. Crypto strategist Alex Kuptsikevich of FxPro cautions that while a bottom could be forming, a more pronounced retracement is still possible if sellers regain control. Elsewhere, Decrypt reports that some market participants see room for a drop toward $80,000–$77,000 under a scenario of slow, steady downside.

This caution comes amid signs that liquidity in the broader crypto markets is drying up, potentially limiting the fuel for a sharp rebound.

Ethereum: Absorbing Liquidity, Eyeing a Turnaround

Ethereum appears to be in a more constructive phase. ETH has absorbed much of its low- and high-timeframe liquidity, indicating that many of the shorter-term sellers may have already exited. That reduces the immediate downside risk, particularly with strong support around $3,000, a level ETH recently rebounded from.

However, Ethereum faces a key resistance band between $3,500 and $3,600 — reclaiming that zone could signal renewed upside momentum. Analysts warn ETH may test lower levels near $2,800 if that effort stalls. Fundamentally, Q4 strength historically has delivered gains averaging around +24 % — if repeated, a resurgence toward $7,000–$8,000 could even be possible.

XRP’s Quiet Accumulation & ETF Tailwinds

Unlike Bitcoin, XRP may be carving out a more stable base. It has absorbed much of its low-timeframe liquidity, signaling that selling pressure is easing and accumulation may be quietly building. XRP is trading around $2.20–$2.30, with a drop below $2.00 seen as a risk, but a bounce back could pave the way for renewed momentum.

Beyond technicals, Ripple’s internal moves — retaining 25% of all XRP — suggest long-term faith in the network. On the institutional front, analysts cite ETF dynamics — if inflows materialize, XRP could see a meaningful valuation boost.

Macro Risk and Liquidity Constraints

While some are optimistic about a rebound, headwinds loom. The pullback in crypto coincides with macro uncertainty — particularly around U.S. monetary policy — and a broader risk-off mood. Analysts warn that unless Bitcoin stabilizes, strength in altcoins may remain selective.

Liquidity concerns are also pervasive: drying liquidity could undermine any rebound, especially if large holders remain on the sidelines. On the ETF front, XRP’s recent sell‑the‑news event following ETF launches suggests institutional inflows may not yet be broad-based or sustained.

Looking ahead, investors will closely monitor whether Bitcoin can hold its key support zones, if Ethereum reclaims resistance near $3,500–$3,600, and whether XRP’s ETF activity translates into meaningful capital inflows. A sustained rebound is possible — but only if liquidity returns and macro risks ease.


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