Key Points
- Q3 earnings have exceeded expectations, with S&P 500 EPS up an estimated 13.4%, marking four consecutive quarters of double-digit growth.
- Peak levels of AI mentions on earnings calls reflect the technology’s accelerating influence on corporate strategy and capital spending.
- Oracle’s upcoming results — alongside reports from Adobe and Broadcom — will determine whether AI momentum continues driving earnings into 2026.
The final stretch of third-quarter earnings season is underway, and while nearly every major U.S. company has already posted results, all eyes are now turning to Oracle — a firm increasingly viewed as a central player in the AI infrastructure boom. With 99% of S&P 500 companies reporting as of Dec. 5, the season has delivered stronger-than-expected results, but the next major signal for markets may come from how Oracle, Adobe, and Broadcom position themselves within the rapidly intensifying AI narrative.
Across corporate America, discussion of artificial intelligence on earnings calls has hit peak levels, reflecting the technology’s growing influence on capital spending, cloud demand, and long-term strategy. Investor enthusiasm has remained strong, but expectations ahead of Oracle’s results carry unusual weight given its expanding cloud backlog and rising prominence as a supplier of infrastructure for AI workloads.
A Strong Earnings Season Fueled by Better-Than-Expected Growth
The third quarter has delivered one of the strongest earnings seasons in years. Analysts now estimate S&P 500 earnings per share rose 13.4% in Q3, according to FactSet — a figure that would mark the index’s fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. This momentum also reflects an upside surprise compared with early forecasts: back in September, Wall Street expected only a 7.9% increase.
Stronger consumer spending, easing inflation pressures, and resilient performance across tech, communications, and industrials contributed to the broad-based improvement. However, beneath the headline numbers, the surge in mentions of AI stands out as one of the defining themes shaping both commentary and forward-looking guidance.
Companies ranging from cloud providers to semiconductor firms and enterprise software vendors are positioning themselves around AI adoption curves, shifting product development, capital allocation, and hiring plans accordingly. The question for investors is whether near-term revenue is keeping pace with the level of AI-driven optimism.
Oracle Steps Into the Spotlight After a Breakout Quarter
Oracle delivered one of the most surprising results of the previous quarter, reporting an unprecedented expansion of its cloud backlog tied to AI training and inference workloads. The company has emerged as a preferred partner for firms building large-scale AI models, thanks to its infrastructure capabilities and collaboration with Nvidia on high-density GPU clusters.
This week’s earnings call may serve as a bellwether for how sustainable the AI-related uplift will be. Investors will focus on three key areas: the pace of backlog conversion into revenue, capital expenditure tied to data center expansion, and updated demand signals from enterprise customers adopting generative AI tools.
In many respects, Oracle’s upcoming results will help determine whether the AI investment wave continues accelerating into 2026 or whether some cooling is underway after months of exuberance.
Adobe and Broadcom Close Out a Tech-Heavy Earnings Period
Adobe and Broadcom will also report next week, rounding out a cycle that has been dominated by discussions around cloud growth, AI monetization, and customer adoption of automation tools. Adobe faces scrutiny over its integration of AI-driven creative features and the strength of digital media subscription demand, while Broadcom will offer insight into semiconductor conditions and the scale of next-generation networking investments supporting AI infrastructure.
Together, the results from these three companies will provide clarity on whether AI remains an accelerating revenue engine — or whether expectations are beginning to outpace realized demand.
Outlook: AI Remains the Central Narrative Heading Into 2026
As the third-quarter earnings season winds down, the overarching theme is unmistakable: AI has become embedded in nearly every major corporate strategy, influencing hiring, capex, and product design across industries. But for markets, the sustainability of this enthusiasm depends increasingly on hard numbers rather than optimistic guidance.
With Oracle now set to anchor the final stage of earnings, investors will be watching for confirmation that AI-linked demand remains strong — and that the technology’s economic impact is advancing beyond rhetoric toward measurable revenue growth.
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